DRAFT AGENDA: Winning the 21st Century–Allied Strength and Solidarity
Arrivals and Breakfast
8:30 a.m. – 9:30 a.m.
Welcome & Introduction
9:30 a.m. – 10:45 a.m.
NATO - EU: Reinvigorating Cooperation or Muddling Through
Brexit and worries about transatlantic security cooperation have reinvigorated Europe’s defense debate, creating new multilateral and bilateral ties. How seriously should NATO allies take permanent structured cooperation (PESCO), which is part of the EU’s common defense and security policy? What role will be played by the European Intervention Initiative—the French-inspired nine-member European Intervention Initiative? What role does the U.S. relationship with non-NATO Sweden and Finland play in regional defense thinking? Most importantly, how much might the EU help NATO in the vital question of improving military mobility through better infrastructure and smoother administration?
10:45 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
11:00 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.
Beyond 2%: Quantity and Quality in European Defense Investments
Atlanticists are slowly and belatedly winning the argument for increased defense budgets. But spending on what? In 2017, only twelve countries out of 29 met NATO’s requirement that members spend over 20% of their defense budgets on equipment. The move to smart spending will require unprecedented international cooperation on procurement, greater specialization, and political leadership. Allies also need to spend more on defense infrastructure. In an era of fragmentation, how can the alliance find the necessary cohesion?
12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m.
Winning the 21st Century: Can We Still Realize the Promise of 1989?
1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m.
Hybrid Containment: The Strategy of the 21st Century
Military planners used to focus chiefly on technology’s ability to deal death at a distance. Now information operations, the targeted use of corruption, cyber-attacks, and a host of other “hybrid-warfare” tactics allow asymmetric aggression in which closed, autocratic countries can undermine open, democratic ones, often with minimal use of conventional military means. Western countries must adapt to these complex, fast-changing, and unprecedented threats, without sacrificing their core institutions and principles. How can this hybrid threat be contained?
3:00 p.m. – 3:15 p.m.
3:15 p.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Energy Security: Free Markets vs. Pipeline Politics
Technology is undermining old business models, but monopolists are fighting a hard rear-guard action—and politicians and regulators are struggling to keep up. Interconnection of gas and electricity markets, tough application of anti-trust rules, and vigorous diplomacy are all required. What means do U.S. allies have to diversify their energy supplies away from sole-source providers like Russia? What are the political and economic priorities to create a resilient, green, and cost-effective energy system in Central and Eastern Europe?Invitation Only
5:30 p.m. – 6:15 p.m.
Andrássy National Security Fellowship Reception
6:30 p.m. – 9:00 p.m.
CEPA Forum Award Dinner